Sunday, January 4, 2026

President Trump’s Foreign Policy

People have asked me what I think about President Trump’s foreign policy.

Fundamentally, President Trump does well in identifying issues that deserve to be addressed but frequently uses extremely ill-advised tactics.

The world needs the USA to be an active leader.  Trump’s activism is good in that sense. 

I was surprised that people thought he would be an isolationist.  I did not expect isolationism because Trump craves power, has boundless self-confidence, is easily offended, and seeks revenge when offended.  Nonetheless, I’ll admit that President Trump has been more broadly active than I anticipated.

While USA leadership is good, the “rules-based” international cooperation of the latter half of the 20th century should not be disbanded in favor of “might makes right” and an Orwellian world (e.g. George Orwell’s book “1984” as noted in my blog President Trump's second term).

We need democracies to band together and support each other, which runs contrary to President Trump’s strategy.

As much as possible, our actions should be done with allies rather than singly.  Doing them singly has the following disadvantages:

1.         If the USA adopts a “might makes right” approach, it will be harder for the USA to rally other nations to support sanctions or other actions against bad actors. 

2.         While nations such as Russia and China might throw their weight around even if the USA doesn’t do so, they might be more encouraged to do so if the USA does so, because they will realize that the USA will be less able to organize successful restraints.

3.         It fractures our alliances if we act alone.

4.         There is less confidence in a rational, reliable values-based approach to world governance.

5.         The USA bears all the cost.

6.         The USA bears all the risk if things go wrong.

7.         Even if the effort is successful, it breeds ill-will focused on the USA among some people.

8.         If one country dominates the world, people in other countries think that is unfair and make efforts to erode that country’s domination.

The United Nations has been disappointingly ineffective.  It would have been good if President Trump had pressured the United Nations to be a more positive and active participant for peace in the world.  To the degree that the UN failed to step forth, he could act in concert with other allies.  The more the USA accomplished efforts with allies, the more countries would decide to participate in his efforts.  The result would be that the UN would be more likely to step up because it would not want to be outside the power-wielding group and because more of its members would be involved with the USA, hence supportive of such UN action.

Domestically, I’m a strong believer in separation of powers and of bringing people together.  President Trump is concentrating power in the Presidency (which might be OK or good on some issues but generally is detrimental to our long-term success).  There is no reason why he could not be consulting with the Senate more.  President Trump is not alone in creating law through the use of Executive Orders, but he has gone further than other Presidents in taking advantage of laws in ways that were not intended, including declaring a series of false emergencies.

The Supreme Court has helped restore separation of powers by overturning the “Chevron deference”.  Now, Congress and the Supreme Court must restore separation of powers by resisting Presidential power grabs.

Both internationally and domestically, President Trump foolishly goes out of his way to alienate people, rather than trying to bring people and countries together.

My past impression was that President Trump’s negotiating tactics were limited to brute force, but he has been creative in using economics/trade to try to resolve conflicts.  I admit that is not a strategy I envisioned and that it has some merit.  However, Trump relies on it too broadly, and it is not clear that his deals will bring long-term peace.

Venezuela: An effort such as the extraction of Nicolas Maduro requires secrecy, so broad involvement of Congress is not possible.  However, it should be possible to discuss intentions with key Congressional members and get their support.  More broadly, there is no reason not to discuss the problems regarding Venezuela broadly in Congress and to get authority, in advance, to take action as needed within limits.

We should not have fired on boats in the Caribbean without Congressional approval (and preferably with international support).  Killing the survivors of the strikes was a clear violation of international law and exposes our solders to such actions in the future.  It should not have been done.

The President should, after speaking with Congress, come on TV with their support (and hopefully international support) explaining the situation and goals to the USA public.

Generally, as noted above, I favor predictable behavior.  President Trump has favored being unpredictable.  There are advantages to being unpredictable, at least in some circumstances.  However, in the long run, I still believe in predictability.

Ironically, now President Trump is trying to shift toward predictability.  He and Secretary of State Rubio are saying that people should believe Trump when he says something is unacceptable.  Sadly, relying on Trump’s word is inconsistent with his track record.  As an example, regarding Venezuela, the cause/intent of his action (as with other actions) is unclear.  It vacillates from oil, to narcotics, to suppression of the Venezuelan population, …  It may well be a combination of those reasons, but that is not what President Trump communicates.  He conveys shifting reasons, making it easier for people to interpret them as excuses rather than reasons.

We should support the democratic process.  Maria Corina Machado has been the main Venezuelan opposition leader for a long time.  Maduro banned her from running in the 2024 election.  Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia ran in her place and got more than 2/3 of the vote.  Clearly, they have support and Maria Corina Machado was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize this year.

Inexplicably, President Trump said today (January 3, the day Maduro was abducted) that Machado lacks respect and support in Venezuela.  He seemed to suggest she is incapable (“she’s a nice lady, but…”).  Instead, he said the USA would run Venezuela.  This was an unforced error on his part.  President Trump may be jealous of their support and not want them to eat into “his credit”.

Instead, President Trump indicated that the Venezuelan Vice President, Delcy Rodriguez has been “sworn in”, that she agreed to “do whatever” the U. S. needed, noting that "she really doesn't have a choice".  However, Ms. Rodriguez responded "If there's something that the Venezuelan people and the country know very clearly, we will never return to being slaves."

Some people equate the current USA involvement in Venezuela to its “nation-building” involvement in Iraq, but there are major differences:

1.         Venezuela had recent elections.  As noted above, Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia (indirectly, Maria Corina Machado) got a huge 2/3 of the vote despite the pressures exerted by Maduro.  That is an amazing support for democracy that did not exist in Iraq.

2.         Venezuela had a functioning democracy from 1958 to at least 1998.  Iraq lacked such history.

3.         Iraq was beset by historical strife between Shia and Shiite Muslims.  Venezuela is fortunate not to have such religious strife.

4.         Iraq has destabilizing tensions with Iran and Kurdistan that are greater than Venezuela’s tensions with neighbors..

5.         Some of Iraq’s Muslim population believe that death defending their faith leads to glorious after-death existence.  Such beliefs do not exist in Venezuela.

6.         Another big difference (contrarian to #s 1 and 2) is that President Trump seems to be working with Maduro’s administration to keep it in place.  That is a different tactic than the USA followed in Iraq.

7.        Less significantly, Venezuela is much closer to the USA.

Nigeria: Boko Haram abducted the Chibok schoolgirls in 2014.  Since then (as documented in my  2015-09-11 blog, Boko Haram), I’ve maintained that an international force should support the Nigerian government by encircling the area where Boko Haram operates and strangling them.

Clearly, that should be done by international forces with the support of the Nigerian government.

Boko Haram are criminals.  Most of their crimes have been committed against Muslims.  Likewise, the ISIS operatives President Trump attacked do not focus on Christians.

But President Trump decided to characterize their activity as “anti-Christian”.  Turning criminal activity into war against Christians risks triggering actions against Christians and reprisals against Muslims.  This was a huge and horrible mistake.

Israel, Iran, and Gaza:  President Trump has done very well in this area.  In his first term, he supported Israel, moved our embassy to Jerusalem, and had a tremendous breakthrough with the Abraham Accords.  During his second term, he has continued to be supportive of Israel and cooperated with Israel in the destruction of Iran’s nuclear capability.   I support all of that.

I thought President Obama’s deal with Iran was flawed but concluded that I would have reluctantly voted for it had I been a Senator asked to vote yea or nay.  It might be more fair to say I tolerated President Trump’s withdrawal from the treaty with Iran than to suggest that I was strongly supportive. 

Ukraine: I agree with President Trump regarding two aspects of the Russia vs. Ukraine war:

1)        I believe the war  would not have occurred had be beaten Biden in the 2020 election (see 10 (Obvious?) Lessons to Learn from Russia’s attack on Ukraine).

2)        I believe that he could have ended the war quickly upon coming into office (Messages to Politicians).

President Biden, despite his incompetence, set President Trump up well relative to Ukraine.  Between President Trump’s re-election and his taking the oath, President Biden increased support for Ukraine.

President Trump could have approached Vladimir Putin privately during this time period or upon taking office with the following message:

·        “President Biden increased support for Ukraine.  You now have two choices:

o   You can end the war in a way that won’t be embarrassing to you, or

o   We’re going to increase support for Ukraine to force you to surrender.”

Obviously, I can’t be sure that Putin would have folded under Trump pressure, but that was clearly the way to go, in my opinion.

Instead, President Trump has been very critical of President Zelenskyy and has continually repeated Putin propaganda.  He has threatened Putin occasionally, always backing down (hugely undermining his and Secretary of State Rubio’s comments that his threats should be believed; maybe he means his threats against weak countries should be believed). 

Russia is the aggressor in this war (clearly in the wrong).  Ukraine has been defending the principles of peace and the USA’s interests, protecting its democracy and position as a trading partner and protecting Europe.  Ukraine has weakened Russia.  From Ukraine’s efforts, we have learned a lot about Russia’s vulnerabilities and a lot about how to fight a war with drones, etc.  Our economy has benefitted from selling weapons to Ukraine.  Yet, President Trump has been continually negative toward Ukraine, encouraging Putin to think that he can do whatever he wants.

Ironically, President Trump is now in the same position relative to Putin as President Biden was.  He needs to “double-cross” Putin.  As I mentioned in 10 (Obvious?) Lessons to Learn from Russia’s attack on Ukraine), President Biden gave Putin a myriad of clues that Putin could attack Ukraine without triggering a response from the USA.  President Biden fortunately rallied somewhat (albeit much too weakly) to the support of Ukraine, thereby “double-crossing” Putin.  Now, President Trump, after repeatedly indicating that he supports Putin, needs to “double-cross” Putin.

President Trump looks at everything as “economic deals”.  He negotiated with Ukraine to get rights to Ukraine’s minerals.  I would not have been likely to have done so.  As noted above, Ukraine has been defending our interests and has been taking terrible losses in doing so.  It will need to invest incredibly huge amounts in reconstruction.

One disadvantage of negotiating such a deal with Ukraine is that it encouraged Putin to think that President Trump isn’t supportive of Ukraine and would respond even more positively to doing economic deals with Russia.

Deals for peace elsewhere:

President Trump takes a lot of credit for creating peace elsewhere.  (He takes a lot of credit for everything.)  As indicated below, he deserves some credit, but only a small fraction of what he claims. 

Armenia/Azerbaijan: It is not clear that the peace deal will be successful, but, at a minimum, President Trump deserves credit for a good try.

Thailand/Cambodia: President Trump threatened each country that he will withhold trade if they don’t abide by a peace deal.   Skirmishes continue, but I think President Trump deserves credit for at least reducing the hostilities temporarily.

Rwanda/Congo; President Trump managed to get a peace deal signed, but it is not clear that it will hold.  The M23 rebels in eastern Congo were not party to the agreement, apparently on the belief that they were controlled by Rwanda.  My somewhat cursory impression is that the deal essentially gives the USA access to the Congo’s minerals in Kivu and Katanga provinces in return for the USA pressuring Rwanda to desist.  The deal is clearly in the USA’s interests.  I’d say President Trump did well, but it is too soon for a victory lap.

India/Pakistan:  Pakistan thanked President Trump for his effort, but India said that Trump did not influence the ceasefire.  It is clear that the USA made some effort, but it looks to me that Pakistan curried favor with Trump by giving him credit.  My impression is that President Trump does not deserve credit for peace between India and Pakistan.

Egypt/Ethiopia: No war has occurred.  Basically, Sudan and Egypt have relied on water originating in Ethiopia.  But Ethiopia built a huge dam which would utilize Ethiopia’s water, reducing how much would flow to Sudan and Egypt.  President Trump has not seemed to contribute to solving this problem.  He damaged his chances by cutting aid to Ethiopia (although that gives him leverage prospectively) and by suggesting that Egypt might bomb the dam if Ethiopia did not agree to a deal.  President Trump appears to favor Egypt and Sudan because he wants their cooperation on Gaza.  Sudan has softened its position on Israel.  Perhaps President Trump deserves credit for using this situation to improve the security of Israel, but he definitely does not deserve credit for solving the problem.  (President Biden may have done better on this one.)

Serbia/Kosovo: Actually, this war ended in 1999.  But Serbia has never recognized Kosovo as an independent nation.  In 2020, the first Trump administration got Serbia to agree to a one-year moratorium on its campaign to dissuade other countries from recognizing Kosovo and Kosovo to agree to stop seeking membership in international organizations for one year.  Clearly, President Trump did not end a war here.  He did a little short-term good, however.

Taiwan: President Trump seems to have weakened Taiwan’s position by his actions relative to Ukraine and because he seems to value trade with China.

NATO and the EU: It has been appropriate to pressure NATO to increase its military budgets.  If President Trump wants to express his views to them privately about their internal politics and immigration policy, that’s his prerogative.   But we should strengthen, not weaken the alliance.

Greenland: The idea of purchasing Greenland is an excellent idea.  But Denmark should have been approached privately about the idea and President Trump should not have tried to undermine the relationship between the Greenlanders and the Danes.

Canada: The idea of making Canada the 51st state of the USA was solely an effort to insult Canada.  President Trump succeeded in damaging our relationship with Canada.

Tariffs: Generally, I’m a “free trade” guy, but I’ve been moderate relative to Trump’s tariffs, waiting to see what happens.  I envisioned a somewhat-delayed negative impact from the tariffs and the possibility that President Trump might be able to use the tariffs as a short-term bargaining ploy.

I would have been very supportive of aligning our allies to use economic pressure, including tariffs, to pressure China relative to issues such as intellectual property and dumping.  But President Trump decided not to do that.

The tariffs have been chaotic and disrupted business planning.   Some were clearly ill-advised.  President Trump has backed off several, seemingly having accomplished nothing and has taken steps to protect some industries which have been hurt by his trade wars.

A big disadvantage of the Trump trade wars is that they are one of many pieces of evidence that suggest that a company’s business success is dependent on staying in President Trump’s good graces.  In my opinion, the Trump Administration is corrupt.

Why does President Trump act in such fashion?

This is my opinion based on watching President Trump from afar for decades.  But I don’t know President Trump personally.  So, you can label this “speculation”, if you’d like.

1.        President Trump’s primary motivation is that he wants power.

2.        Secondarily, he has a tremendous ego and wants to see that other people recognize his power.

3.        He cares about the power and credit optics more than about solving these problems.

4.        He is susceptible to people playing to his vanity (such as Putin, Pakistan, North Korea, etc.).

5.        He narrowly sees issues as economic and places finances, as well as power and ego, ahead of principle.

6.        He actually likes to upset people, even when it is counterproductive to his policy goals, because if he can get people upset, that is evidence of his power.  As noted, power is more important than policy to him.

7.        Obviously, he has an egotistical desire to get the Nobel Peace Prize.

36 key ideas in 2026

the-26-most-important-ideas-for-2026 is very thought-provoking!  My comments are not intended to be critical, but rather simply to expand thought a bit more.

  1. Here are 10 “important ideas” he did not mention.  Perhaps my view is less limited to 2026 than is his and, of course, he couldn’t cover everything. .

Optimistic perspectives that are progressing but won’t make a big splash in 2026 need to receive funding:

  1. Energy advances (fusion, such as Commonwealth and Helion; geothermal, such as Fervo; as well as solar, wind, etc.) can improve economies and life, while reducing cost, pollution and war.
  2. Climate change technology advances will continue, including agricultural advances (such as The Land Institute), carbon sequestration (such as C-Questra), etc.  Why I Stopped Being A Climate Catastrophist is a good article.  Despite being a strong environmentalist for 60+ years, I have been a climate change moderate for several reasons.  One is that we really don’t know what will happen in the future.  Secondly, Bjorn Lomborg makes some good points, including that critics ignore that fewer people are dying from exposure to cold.  I do think we should try to reduce our impact on planet warming and climate change.  I support renewable energy as part of an “all of the above” strategy with a trend away from combustibles.  I’ve supported a carbon tax and incentives to buy fuel-efficient cars but not electric car manufacturing mandates.
  3. Assuming we don’t kill the golden goose, there will continue to be major biotech advances such as individualized treatment (e.g., Singula Institute and ETH Zurich).

Things we should be able to turn-around if our citizens get together and insist on positive changes:

  1. The loss of heroes and denigration of merit are huge problems.  We need secular and religious heroes to inspire people!  (Recognizing their flaws is fine as long as we honor their contributions.)
  2. Our public education system needs serious improvement.  Most important: we consign students in inner cities to inadequate education but even in wealthier areas, education can be improved.
  3. We have a desperate need to reward integrity in politicians, media, and institutions.  Our parties lie to us about each other to gain power through our anger.  We must demand that politicians and institutions bring us together, using heroes of various characteristics to demonstrate that we all have similar values.  Rather than stressing differences (identity politics), we should stress our similarities and show that diversity helps us achieve our common goals.  We must address our national debt, which is typically stated as $38 trillion, but is $95 trillion if you assume Social Security and Medicare will continue unchanged indefinitely.  The 2026 election will be important to see whether extremists or centrists win in each party’s primaries and in the November elections.
  4. I fear the trend toward George Orwell’s 1984 with increasing government intrusion in our lives (as exists in China and is growing in other countries) and a world carved up between super-powers (which seems to be a Trump-effect).

Things that seem harder to control:

  1. The continual explosion of more-and-more info and our fast-paced world increase mental disease because they strain the capability of the human brain.
  2. It also is increasingly difficult to determine the truth.  This has been a great fear of mine since I watched “Forrest Gump”.  Tip: On Chrome, there are three vertical dots to the right of the URL (see below).  These dots lead to info about the credibility of the site.
  1. A new “arms” race is building, not only among major countries but also minor countries and factions (such as terrorists).  Offensive weapons can be built very cheaply.  While this may stymie the Orwellian world, it is not positive.
  1. Many of his issues can be compressed into a single point: while there is more to learn, our population is shortening its attention span and spending more time on escapist/leisure activities.  This threatens our future, including our long-term freedom vs. possible Chinese conquest.
  2. He also identifies some overall trends that comprise multiple subsets that have very different consequences.

Here are the 26 issues he identified with a few comments:

  1. The end of reading: CT: There are multiple issues mixed here
    1. Reduced adult leisure reading doesn’t bother me.  It may not be productive use of our time.  Reading on-line is superior as you can delve quickly into side issues and share your sources/observations more easily.
    2. Replacing child/teen leisure reading with videos might not be bad.  Reading helped us understand life and how our lives might turn out.  But “a picture is worth 1000 words”, and video with sound is better than a picture.
    3. Biographies: the reduction in heroes is a big problem.  I don’t think reading biographies has been sufficiently replaced with video biographies.
    4. Technical, informational reading is critical and requires attention span.
  1. The triumph of streaming video:
    1. CT: Replacing print with on-line is good (see 1a) but social media is dangerous because of silos and false info.
    2. CT: It would be interesting to see a breakdown of the use of YouTube.  Its “how to” and educational videos are great!  It democratizes education, by making it available instantly, everywhere, with no marginal cost.
  1. Goodbye, movie theaters?
  1. TikTok might be melting your brain: “a systematic review of 71 studies with 98,000 participants … in 2025 … [found] heavy short-form video users showed moderate deficits in attention, inhibitory control, and memory.”
  1. The whole US economy right now is one big bet on artificial intelligence: CT: robots could turn life upside down
  1. Get ready for a wave of anti-AI populism
  1. Generative AI is probably much better at (certain aspects of) our jobs than we’d like to admit: CT: on this issue, he unpacked related issues that have different impacts.
  1. Young Americans are becoming more disconnected from the economy: CT: people at all ages are choosing to be unemployed.
  1. The share of liberal non-religious high school seniors who say life “often feels meaningless” has doubled since the early 2000s: We should learn from his data that religious and conservative youth have better mental health.
  1. The only currency is currency (Or: Have you noticed that the only remaining global virtue in the world is money?): CT: We don’t teach values as well as we did in the past.  This gets back to heroes, religion, and our education system.
  1. The accelerated decline of fertility among rich countries is going to have some fascinating global implications:  CT: One of these issues is going to be related to water, which will become increasingly valuable.
  1. Is alcohol over?
  1. Americans aren’t drunk. They’re high.
  1. Marijuana isn’t good medicine.
  1. GLP-1 drugs are already remarkable, and today they’re probably less effective than they’ll ever be.
  1. GLP-1 drugs will probably reshape the food and drink industry: CT: I agree.  The impact of GLP-1 drugs is going to be huge in terms of health, life expectancy, healthcare spending, junk food industry, gym industry, etc.
  1. The future will be hot, high, and lonely.
  1. And one more thing about drugs: The right’s vaccine politics are insane.
  1. Young people are screwed because of housing. So … what’s the matter with housing?  CT: One positive is that both parties want to ease permitting bottlenecks.
  1. Blocked from homeownership, low-income renters are gambling with their housing money
  1. America’s “monks in the casino” are calling for help
  1. Negativity bias rules everything around me: I’ve wanted to see a “Good News” TV channel for 40 years.  True, most people wouldn’t watch it, but it would get a following.  The world is way better off than in the past.  The green revolution (Norman Borlaug) was a huge success; diseases have been reduced by sanitation, vaccines, medicines, etc.; healthy food is shipped around the world, hence available all seasons; etc.  There is less poverty and the poverty is less intense.  We have more comforts and products, more affordable and they last longer.  But TV/video raises people’s expectations, causing more dissatisfaction than in the past despite things being so much better.
  1. The Past Sucked, Part I: Be glad you don’t live in Italy in the mid-500s
  1. The Past Sucked, Part II: The U.S. used to suffer from a very different housing crisis
  1. Progress is as much about the institutions we build as it is about the truths we discover
  1. Great art can save lives.

Friday, December 19, 2025

Term Limits for Congress

Support for term limits is very high across the political spectrum, as explained in this article which provides interesting history.

Although I’m not strongly opposed to term limits, it concerns me that term limits would keep voters from being able to be served by outstanding legislators for a long time.  I'd prefer to increase the margin that a candidate needs to win by, depending on how many terms (s)he has had.  Someone who has had [2] terms might need to get [51%] of the vote to win; someone who has had [3] terms might need [52%] to win.  Statistical analysis could help set those requirements.  The idea is to (partly) offset the advantage of being an incumbent.  A truly outstanding servant could still win.

Because it would be harder to keep winning term-after-term, politicians would be less likely to keep running, and political parties would be more likely to prefer a new candidate.

My idea seems impossible to achieve.  It would be opposed for various reasons.  Many people would consider it undemocratic to allow someone getting fewer votes to be declared the winner.  Others would interpret such an approach to make some votes worth more than others.

Because my idea seems impossible, I would not oppose term limits.  

It is very unclear, however, who would be interested in running for office with term limits.  For professionals, being in Congress could be very disruptive to their career earnings unless they leverage their political position (which we really don’t want them to do).  People in careers that don't have advancement paths would be more inclined to run.  People who own businesses that can be run by others would find it easier to run.  Teachers (especially history or political science teachers) might be interested although they would lose seniority.

I am strongly in favor of Ranked-Choice Voting which I think would make it harder for candidates to get re-elected repeatedly.

Thursday, November 27, 2025

Pirro & Patel comments about Shooting of Two National Guard Members

 The shooting of two National Guard members was horrific.

FBI Director Kash Patel appropriately said “We must come together as a nation”, but he and Jeanine Pirro, United States Attorney for the District of Columbia shamelessly politicized their discussion of the event. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SmVT3F2_bA0; text below).

While praising the brave ”sacrifices that so many are making around the world and around this country to secure our freedoms”  “for people they don’t even know”, they cowardly licked President Trump’s boots.  (To be clear, the blue-highlighted comments don’t bother me.)

While admitting that that Afghans who entered the country under the Operation Allies Welcome “had a relationship in Afghanistan with partner forces” and stating that they needed to review “his immigration history and the vetting process itself”, they nonetheless repeatedly lied in the strongest terms claiming the Biden administration failed “to vet in any way, shape or form, this individual and countless others”.

Earlier, Democratic administrations falsely assured us that they could vet immigrants to assure our safety.  That was clearly untrue because:

1.        You can’t perfectly vet people.

2.        People can become radicalized after arriving here.  Rahmanullah Lakanwal entered the USA on September 8, 2021. He might have become radicalized in the past 4 years, 2.5 months.  Patel and Pirro admit they don’t know yet state “This is what happens in this country when people are allowed in who are not properly vetted.”

3.        The biggest threat of violence from immigrants may come from their children.  They are stressed by parents “from the old country” and wanting to assimilate into their new country.  They don’t feel as though they belong.  For example, the 2013 Boston Marathon attack was done by children of immigrants.

More than 85000 Afghans entered the USA through Operations Allies Wlcome but for a variety of reasons approximately 195,000 Afghan immigrants were in the USA in 2022.               

According to a 2021 Cato Institute study, “native-born Americans were about 11.6 times as likely to be incarcerated as Afghan immigrants.“  In 2022, Air Force general Glen D. VenHerck said his research indicated “law enforcement violations [of Afghan immigrants] that are on par, and in most cases, significantly lower than the rates that we're seeing in similar-sized populations across the United States". 

There is risk in allowing immigrants to our country.  However, immigrants contribute a great deal to our country and living up to our principles involves risk.  Some of the people who express concern about immigrant risk are comfortable with the risk of guns.  Both risks are related to freedom.

Pirro said “This was not just an attack. It was a direct challenge to law and order in our nation's capital.”  I wonder what she would say about the January 6th riot.

Transcript

Jeanine Pirro, United States Attorney for the District of Columbia

My name is Jeanine Pirro.  I am the United States Attorney for the District of Columbia, and I am joined here by several individuals who represent agencies who have been working around the clock since this horrific event happened.

To my left, we have the director of the FBI.  We have General Leland “Bill” Blanchard of the National Guard.  Mayor Bowser is here as well.  We have Frank Sana of the DEA, Chris Heck of DHS, executive assistant chief Jeffrey Carroll of the MPD, Darren Cox of the Washington FBI field office, and a special agent in charge Samuel Ward of the ATF in uh Washington.

Now, I want to provide you with an update on the tragic shooting that occurred on two brave members of the West Virginia National Guard as they served in Washington DC. Unfortunately, today, as most families join together to give thanks for the blessings that have been bestowed upon them, two families are shattered and destroyed and torn apart as a result of the actions of one man.

First and foremost, our hearts go out to the victims and their families. These are dedicated service members who were performing their duties in service to our nation, and they are currently in critical condition. They have undergone surgery. We pray for their well-being as they continue to be cared for in the best possible way.

We have been in constant contact with their families and have provided them with every resource needed during this difficult time. The two National Guardsmen that we're talking about are Sarah Beckstrom, who is 20 years old, and Andrew Wolfe, who is 24 years old. They were uniform members of the West Virginia National Guard, and they were in DC to keep DC safe.

Pursuant to President Trump's executive order to make DC safe and beautiful, they answered the call. They took the charge. They volunteered. They put their lives on the line for people they don't even know. And that unfortunately is becoming a reality more and more for the members of law enforcement.

Yesterday on Thanksgiving Eve at approximately 2:15 near 17th and I streets in the northwest section of the district near the Farragut West Metro Station, two uniform guardsmen were ambushed in a brazen and targeted attack. A lone gunman opened fire without provocation, ambush style, armed with a 357 Smith and Wesson revolver.

One guardsman is struck, goes down, and then the shooter leans over and strikes the guardsman again. Another guardsman is struck several times.  Fellow guardsmen who were there responded immediately, engaging the suspect, neutralizing the threat, and subduing him at the scene.

He was transported to a local hospital where he remains, as we speak, under heavy guard.

Thanks to the swift and coordinated response of the National Guard and the Metropolitan Police Department, no additional victims were harmed, and the scene was secured within minutes.

The suspect has been identified as Rahmanullah Lakanwal, a 29-year-old Afghan who entered the United States under Biden's Operation Allies Welcome, a program following the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan.

He resided in Bellingham, Washington with his wife and, we believe, five children.  We're working very closely with our federal partners, especially DHS and the FBI, to review his immigration history and the vetting process itself.

What we know about him is that he drove his vehicle across country from the state of Washington with the intended target of coming to our nation's capital.

As we stand here today, the charges that are appropriate right now are three counts of assault with intent to kill while armed, a violation of DC code 22-41, and DC code 4022-4502.  He will also be charged with possession of a firearm during a crime of violence.

He faces 15 years under the assault with the intent to kill. We intend to continue monitoring what the charges will be depending upon uh the well-being of the guardsmen. We are praying that they survive and that the highest charge will not have to be murder in the first degree. But make no mistake, if they do not, that will certainly be the charge, murder in the first degree.

The Department of Justice under Attorney General Pam Bondi is committed to a thorough and an impartial investigation where we will hold this perpetrator accountable under the full weight of the law.

Now, Sarah and Andrew volunteered. They came here to protect the people of the district pursuant to a crime emergency that President Trump rightly declared in this city and in other cities across the country.

Our nation's capital should not and must not be a place where evil comes to commit violence. Whatever their cause or motive may be, we should not have to live in fear in the nation's capital, especially by one who came here from a foreign country through a process that was so absurd that he came through and released into this country, as many were, knowing virtually nothing about his vetting.

This is what happens in this country when people are allowed in who are not properly vetted.

These guardsmen and all who are here to protect the district are the line that separates a civilized society from a barbaric one. They are the ones who stand for law and order.

This was not just an attack. It was a direct challenge to law and order in our nation's capital. And they the individual will be made fully accountable. And though it seems that we have been here before under President Trump, make no mistake and the attorney general, we will not allow this to be normalized. It will be confronted, condemned, and prosecuted to the full extent of the law.

Now, my message to the individual who committed these acts is you picked the wrong target, the wrong city, and the wrong country. And you will be sorry for the violence and the evil that you perpetrated in our nation's capital.

And now I call upon the director of the FBI, Kash Patel.

Kash Patel, Director of the FBI:

Thanks, Judge. I'll begin my remarks and my end my remarks the same way with prayer for our fallen soldiers, prayer for our law enforcement community, prayer for our National Guardsmen and women. Prayer for our brave prosecutors at the Department of Justice and the offices of the DC United States Attorney.

We must come together as a nation, especially on this Thanksgiving Day, and remember the sacrifices that so many are making around the world and around this country to secure our freedoms under President Trump's brilliant leadership and administration.

I'll provide an update on the on the case as follows. It is an ongoing investigation of terrorism. Make no mistake about it. We the FBI is leading out on this federal assault on a federal law enforcement officer investigation on many fronts.

We immediately with our law enforcement partners and the Metropolitan Police Department and the inter agency secured the scene, seized the weapon, sent in our evidence response team immediately to collect evidence and started doing block-by-block canvases. We are looking for and interviewing witnesses.

The firearm and other materials have been sent to our Quantico laboratory already yesterday for immediate analysis. That work is ongoing, partnering with the DC United States Attorney's Office.

We have also executed multiple search warrants around the country to include the subject's last known residence, which is in the state of Washington. The search warrant was executed on that house last night or early this morning and it is an ongoing process. All the individuals found in the house have been interviewed and some interviews remain ongoing. We will not stop until we interview anyone and everyone associated with the subject, the house and every piece of his life.

There was also subject interviews relations conducted in San Diego pursuant to our ongoing investigation.

So, as the judge noted, this is a coast to coast investigation being led right here in Washington DC. And this subject definitely did pick the wrong country.  And we will rise together as a nation to show the world what we do here. And we are thankful that we have the attorney general's brave leadership and President Trump's brave leadership and priorities to safeguard our communities.

I also spoke to director of the CIA John Radcliffe last night and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth. There is confirmation now that the subject had a relationship in Afghanistan with partner forces. We are fully investigating that aspect of his background as well to include any known associates that are either overseas or here in the United States of America.

That is what a broad-based international terrorism investigation looks like. We will provide continuous details to the American public while at the same time not jeopardizing the ongoing prosecution to ultimately hold this perpetrator accountable in our courts of law. We will provide as much transparency as possible.

But as you can see, the breadth and scope of this investigation will continue. We will continue to hit the streets and hit every town and every house and talk to every witness. The men and women of the FBI and the Metropolitan Police Department and the inter agency to include the Department of Homeland Security, DEA and ATF are working tirelessly on this Thanksgiving day. And I know just by talking to the leaders behind me that instead of going on and being with their families, everyone rogered up and showed up to work today and none of them want to go home. That's the resolve that we have together as a team to bring to you justice for this heinous act of terrorism here in our nation's capital.

And as the judge said, we will ensure that our law enforcement partners are out there in full force to make sure the world can enjoy our nation's capital. We will not let this heinous act of violence prevent people from visiting our beautiful nation's capital. And we will also continue to highlight any evidence that we can publicly.

And as the judge said, this individual is in this country for one reason and one reason alone. Because of the disastrous withdrawal from the Biden administration and the failure to vet anyway in any way, shape or form, this individual and countless others. And this administration has taken the rightful step to stop any further allowance of people with this similar background into the country. And we're thankful for that. And as I said, this investigation remains ongoing. And I think I'll turn it over to General Blanchard to the National Guard now.

Thank you.

General Blanchard:

Thank you, director.  All across America this morning, families are waking up.  They'll spend the day with their children, their brothers, sisters, husbands, wives, friends from across the community.  There will be the smell of turkey, all the fixings. They'll watch parades, football games. They'll pray together.  They'll talk about what they're grateful for.

This morning, there are two families that will not have that opportunity.  Andy and Sarah's families. They're spending the day reflecting on the past.  And in the days coming, they'll reflect on and think about what could have been, what might be.

Because regardless of the outcome, we know that their lives, their family's lives are all changed forever because one person decided to do this horrific and evil thing.

And all across America, we are also reminded that there are many law enforcement agents, first responders, soldiers, service members all around the world who at best will come home, eat some cold turkey, open up Tupperware, eat what's left over because they spent the day defending the American ideals, getting out there and getting after on every American citizen's behalf.

I will say that the District of Columbia National Guard, this task force is more committed this morning to the president's directive to make DC safe and beautiful.

Our resolve will be tested. It is being tested. But make no mistake, each and every one of these soldiers and airmen will meet and exceed the expectation that we have for them. They are in fact America's best. I'm proud of each and every one of them.

I pray for each and every one of them today and in particular for these two young service members who are willing to go above and beyond and pay whatever price our nation asked of them. I ask every American today to keep them in their thoughts and prayers as you go about your day. Thank you.

Mayor Bowser

Thank you, Judge. I'm Muriel Bowser. I'm the mayor of Washington, DC, and I want to associate myself with the remarks from the DC National Guard.

I want to be very clear what the judge and everyone has reported here.

Somebody drove across the country, came to Washington DC to attack America and that person will be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.

These young people should be at home in West Virginia with their families.

I also want to say that the both Sarah and Andrew I believe were sworn in less than 24 hours before they were shot on the street in Washington.

Any questions?

You know, as the director has indicated, this is a fluid investigation. People are working around the clock. It's too soon to say what the motive is. But there are definitely areas that we're looking into, but not ready to say.

 

Q: Can you characterize a little bit about how taken down?

A: He got shot by another by another guardsman.

A: And you mentioned earlier that he had the shooter had initially not just initially shot one of the guards that leaned over as they shot him again.

Q: How many how many shots?  the specific number.

A: Look, he had a 357 Smith and Wesson revolver. So, I believe that's a six shooter. So, you know that kind of tells us how many shots he had.

The Biden administration was a failed.  I don't even want to talk about whether they should have been there. We ought to kiss the ground and thank God that the president said it's time to bring in more law enforcement to make sure that a city that had the fourth highest homicide rate in the country was that violence was quelled. I'm not even going to go there.

You miss all the signs when you do absolutely zero vetting. And that's exactly what happened in this case when the prior administration made the decision to allow thousands of people into this country without doing a single piece of background checking or vetting.  That's how you miss every single sign.

And Secretary Christy Noom has put out details specifically related to your other questions. So I'll let that speak for themselves.

Yes, I believe Christine put that out and that's a DHS matter and I'll refer it to them.

Could you elaborate on the investigation?

So, what happened was thanks to the quick investigation by the inter agency and the FBI, we were able to track down his last known residence, working with our United States attorney's offices here and at the Department of Justice and prosecutors across the country, we were able to serve search warrants literally overnight and through the night and we were able to hit the house in Washington State.

During that process, we seized numerous electronic devices to include cell phones, laptops, iPads, and other material that is being analyzed as we speak. pursuant to that investigation and any known associates of the subject and of that house is how we ended up in San Diego where interviews were conducted and are going to be continue to be conducted and we will go anywhere in the country or the world where the evidence leads us.

Q: Are there relationships in San Diego?

A: All of that is an ongoing investigation.

Q: Can anyone give an update as far as Sarah and Andrew who were injured? You said critical condition. Can you give anything beyond that? Are they expected to make it?

A: Touch and go.

Q: Can you tell us a little more about how we're doing?  Spelling of their names, please.

A: Sarah Beckstrom and Andrew Wolfe.

Now, with respect to their medical condition, as I said, they're receiving the finest medical care. their families are with them now. They are critical. I think you understand the meaning of that. It's not clear, you know, how this is going to end up. But let me be perfectly clear about how it will end up in this office. If one of them is to pass and god forbid that happens, this is a murder one. Period. End of the story. We are praying on a day like today when families come together in America and they hold hands around the Thanksgiving table. I beg you, I beseech you to play to pray for these two young people that they survive.

Okay, I think that's it.