Saturday, August 29, 2026

Artificially creating African-American-majority political districts

I sent this email along these lines to the ACLU today and may send it to some other people.  If you know someone who might do such a study, please share the idea with them.

In my long-held view, creating plurality African-America voting districts is important if African-American candidates (nearly) can’t get elected in districts where African-Americans represent a small percentage of the population.

But, if African-Americans can get elected in districts where African-Americans represent a small percentage of the population, then creating plurality African-American districts significantly limits their influence.  Consider:

  1. African-Americans are ~14% of eligible voters.
  2. According to Ballotpedia, 17 of 33 Senate races in 2024 had margins of victory of 15% or more.  7 had spreads of 5% or less.
  3. If we had made 14% of the Senate districts majority African-American, the African-American vote would have controlled 14% of 33 Senate races which, if rounded up, is 5 seats.
  4. However, if 67% African-Americans voted for the same candidate, they could have swung all 7 of the elections with spreads of 5% or less and some of the elections with larger spreads.  Many of the states with 5% or less margins would have required fewer than 67% of African-Americans to vote for the same candidate.  For example, if the winning margin was 2%, it would have been sufficient for as few as 57% of the African-Americans to vote for the same candidate.  If the Black voters are concentrated in fewer districts, they lose that power.

It would be great if we could get to a time when we don’t need to jury-rig districts to favor African-Americans, particularly because that legitimizes demands to jury-rig districts for other groups and because it relies on classifying voters, somewhat presuming identity politics, which I consider insulting and inappropriate.

A few years ago, I did a cursory review to see whether we still needed to artificially create African-American majority districts.  It seemed that creating African-American-majority districts was still justified, however, that was a very cursory analysis. 

Currently, 65 out of 535 members of Congress are African-American, more than 12%.  That suggests that we don’t need more African-American-majority districts, but it doesn’t indicate whether we could have fewer.

After Louisiana v. Callais, I was surprised to read correspondence from an extremely strong Progressive, who opined that we no longer needed to artificially create African-American-majority districts.

One approach would be to:

  1. Create a grid based on age, gender, education, etc. (to the degree data is available) to distribute the candidates among those cells and determine what percentage of the total are in each cell.
  2. Then based on the demographics of each human race in each district, you could calculate how likely it should be that a candidate is one human race or another.  To split this by Democratic vs. Republican, it might be best to have separate data bases.  The data would obviously have to be adjusted to reflect the percentage of each human race in each party, as you can’t expect a party to nominate someone from another party.  It might be necessary to use national data of voting by human race to reflect party differences by human race.
  3. For each human race, you could add the percentage across all districts (possibly separating by party).  The total would represent an “expected” number of candidates of that human race in that election.  That total could be compared to the actual number of candidates of that human race that year.  This analysis could be done for several election cycles to observe trends and iron out statistical fluctuations.
  4. The above addresses candidates.  Separately, you could analyze each political contest assuming that each party has the chance of wining based on its percentage of registered voters.  You could add that across the country to determine the total likelihood for candidates of various human races and compare that to election results to determine whether/how human race seemed to impact results.
  5. I am happy for a professional statistician to utilize a superior approach to what I’ve laid out.

The ACLU could do a great public service by analyzing data carefully to determine whether artificially creating African-American-majority districts is still justified.

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Cryonics (and how it relates to abortion and medical aid in dying)

 My sister recently died.  Her body was frozen for potential future restoration.  A relative expressed surprise that I “believe that dead people might perhaps be able to be restored to life after cryonics.”  Here is my response:

The key word is “might”; I suppose I do believe that people might be restored to life.  Here are my thoughts:

  1. When I supported my sister’s wishes, I certainly did not expect her to be resurrected (and still don’t).  It was simply a case that our parents had left money to her.  If that was what she wanted to do with the money, I thought we should honor her wishes.
  2. As I was going through the legal aspect of that possibility, I thought I should try to get appropriate protections in place, no matter how low the possibility.
  3. Recently, I noted that it was good that her remaining assets were being held to care for her should she be restored.  I actually had mixed feelings.  Sure, that was good if she was to be restored.  But that money could have been put to better use to help the world.  I find that frustrating.
  4. While I don’t expect her to be restored, I am aware that I don’t know what will happen in the future.  Scientists have created living clones of dead animals, even an animal that was extinct.  That would suggest that maybe some part of my sister’s body could be used to create a living human.
  5. However, if she is restored, there are several issues including, but not limited to:
    1. Would she have the same memories, personality, etc.?  I doubt it.
    2. Would she be able to take care of herself in a future society which will have changed a lot?  I doubt it.
    3. Would she live a happy, useful life under those circumstances?  I doubt it.
  6. I have no interest in being frozen to be restored.

The cryonics issue overlaps partly with abortion and medical aid in dying.

  • I am not a religious person, but I hear people argue against abortion because “we shouldn’t try to alter God’s intent”.
  • However, those same people typically strongly favor extensive life-extending efforts when they are dying.  Isn’t that “trying to alter God’s intent”?
  • Cryonics appears to be trying to alter God’s intent.

My position on these issues is:

  1. Parents should have the right to abort a baby.  It should be the mother’s decision, but she should at least try to discuss the alternatives with the father if the baby was willingly conceived.
  2. Medical aid in dying is a civil right.
  3. I tolerate cryonics however it does not seem to be to be a civil right.  If a government outlawed cryonics, I wouldn’t object.  I do object to outlawing either abortion or medical aid in dying.

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Many Arguments re: KS Amendment to Elect Judges are Bogus

The Johnson County Post does a great job of pre-election reporting.  In an unusual situation, I wrote the following email to their editor (Kyle Palmer) suggesting that the Post could do a better job on the proposed KS constitutional amendment to elect judges.  If you want to know how I currently lean, look past the asterisks near the bottom of this post. 

A key piece of information in this article is: “The actual judicial selection process occurs in meetings that are available to the public, both online and in person. All records created during the process are public, as well.”  Can you distribute an appropriate recording and/or records, so voters can judge how the system is working?  Data you pick, not one that is selected for you.

I’m quite torn on this issue.  On the one hand, I like merit and don’t trust the politicians pushing this issue.  On the other hand, it is far from clear that the current system is a good one and just because I don’t favor someone does not mean that they aren’t right on some issues.  Our USA Supreme Court had a good approach: selected by the President, confirmed by the Senate.  But then the Senate decided to start “Borking” candidates, and candidates became extremely disingenuous in responding to questions.  Our political system works best when politicians and regulators work in good faith; that has been becoming less common.

Many of the arguments are bogus.  I think you could do a better job of demonstrating which arguments are bogus as I will outline below.

Before citing bogus arguments, I’d like to note what I think is a key point that I have not seen reported: Elections will pressure judges to take a position before hearing a case.  They should decide only after hearing both sides’ attorneys and discussing the principles with their peers on the bench.  In an election, they will be pressed to take a position, which will then somewhat paint them into a corner.

Two recent Johnson Post articles say: “It would also open the door for justices to participate in political parties and campaigns and to contribute financially to them, though a lot of details about how that might work remain undecided.”

The current law says:

§ 8. Prohibition of political activity by justices and certain judges. No justice of the supreme court who is appointed or retained under the procedure of section 5 of this article, nor any judge of the district court holding office under a nonpartisan method authorized in subsection (a) of section 6 of this article shall directly or indirectly make any contribution to or hold any office in a political party or organization or take part in any political campaign.”

The suggested law says:

§ 8. Prohibition of political activity by justices and certain judges. No judge of the district court holding office under a nonpartisan method authorized in subsection (a) of section 6 of this article shall directly or indirectly make any contribution to or hold any office in a political party or organization or take part in any political campaign, except when such judge is a candidate for election to a position on an appellate court.”

The intent seems to be that a judge to contribute to and participate only in his/her own political campaign.  Should that be reported?  I suppose the wording could be interpreted to mean that when they are a candidate, they could also contribute… to other campaigns.  If that is a concern, it would be good to report the wording and mention that ambiguity.

“nominees’ political affiliation is not factored in at all”.  However, with such a thorough process, the candidates’ leanings are likely to be obvious, even without specifically asking about their political affiliations.  Is there any way the Post can identify how recent judges have divided politically?  Is there any way the Post can identify whether members of the KS bar and, more importantly, those voting in the nomination process, reflect the distribution of political leanings of the public?

Judges should make decisions based on the law, not what they think is popular.  (Good point.)  But the anti-amendment people claim that the change is fueled by people who don’t like the abortion, hence will result in abortion not being protected.  Kansans voted 60% to keep abortion legal, so if judges are swayed by what is popular, wouldn’t that protect abortion?

People already get to vote to retain a judge.  Retention elections are not meaningful.  Judges run uncontested and there is no information.  No KS Supreme Court justice has ever lost a retention election in well over 100 retention elections..  (Shouldn’t that be reported?)  Even the judges who overturned the Carr murder sentences were retained   Even if there was information, there would be a strong incumbency bias.

The law was changed ~60 years ago because of corruption.  But past corruption had NOTHING to do with the voting process!  The Fred Hall “Triple Play” occurred because there was NO election for between-election vacancies.  By the same token, “by the 1940s, that practice was falling out of favor due to concerns about corruption from wealthy individuals essentially buying seats on courts with large campaign contributions” relates to people buying appointed judge seats, not elected judge seats.  (To be clear, the concern that large local and outside donations could sway elections is a valid concern.)

21 states use a model like KS.  Pro-amendment supporters note that the other states have the same number of attorneys and non-attorneys with an additional attorney who votes only as a tie-breaker.  They criticize KS as being the only state with a majority of attorneys always voting.  That criticism doesn’t make sense to me.  The attorneys’ advantage in having 5 members on the commission is relevant only in 5-4 votes; hence it is no different than a tie-breaker.

The Supreme Court has heard 8 KS cases since 2007 and overturned 7 of them.  This is pertinent but not a huge point.  Nationwide since 2007, the Supreme Court has overturned 71.4% (938 out of 1313).  If this is reported, it should be noted that one less KS reversal would drop the KS percentage to 75% like the rest of the country.  So, this data does not seem reliable.  The Supreme Court agrees to hear very few cases, thus they pick ones that they are likely to overturn.  The volatility of these statistics is confirmed because, prior to 2007, KS had a low percentage overturned (about 55%) whereas the rest of the USA was about 73%.

I haven’t yet watched the event your article cited.  It appears that both participants are anti-amendment, but that wasn’t highlighted.  When I watch it, I might decide that it is balanced.

***************************************************

If the election was today, I would vote against the amendment for the following reasons:

  1. Elections would pressure judges to take a position before hearing a case.  They should decide only after hearing both sides’ attorneys and discussing the principles with their peers on the bench.
  2. Judges are inherently different from legislators and the governor.  They should make decisions based on the law, not what they think is popular. 
  3. The proposed wording is ambiguous.

 

Thursday, July 16, 2026

Kansas Law Regarding Teaching DEI and CRT

Kansas passed a law that prohibits state universities from requiring students to enroll in a “DEI-CRT” course.  So, the Board of Regents needed to clarify the meaning.

The Board of Regents concluded that required classes could not intentionally establish and promote the preferential treatment of groups based on race, color, gender, ethnicity or national origin, nor the theory of racism being systemic within laws, policies or institutions. Those topics could be present as subjects of scholarly, historical or legal study.

This KC Star article about this law catalogues the concerns of faculty, administrators, etc. that the law could stifle academic freedom and proper discussion of these topics.

I posted the following comment, which was the first comment posted: "There seems to be a clear distinction between even-handed discussion and "promotion". While I like FIRE's position, most of our nation's colleges and universities have been teaching slanted political education for decades and discouraging free political speech, as FIRE has documented. The academics are using "academic freedom" cries to defend their abuse of academic freedom. I'd be delighted if the universities and colleges offered a better way than this law to correct the bias in their education. In this article, they did not do so."

What do you think?

Saturday, July 4, 2026

Why does ACLU keep lying about trans athletes in girls' sports?

I wrote this email to three ACLU staff I admire:  

You are among those people in ACLU whom I greatly admire.  Therefore, I’d like to offer this constructive feedback.  There is no need for you to respond to me.

I understand why ACLU chooses to support transgender athletes.  Disagreeing with ACLU on that issue does not undermine my interest in donating to ACLU. 

But ACLU’s lies about the issue do cause me to consider discontinuing donations to ACLU.

In the message below, ACLU wrote: “the Court has allowed transphobic politicians to ban trans girls from participating in school sports”.  Other sources accurately reported that the Court banned trans girls from participating in girls’ sports.  They can still participate in boys’ sports.  Similarly, the ACLU wrote: “"Trans children shouldn't be denied the benefits of teamwork and dedication because of who they are."  The ACLU is free to explain why it feels the alternative of competing in sports based on birth gender is inadequate, but lying is unacceptable. 

It is also wrong to suggest that people who disagree with the ACLU on this issue are “transphobic”.  I think “transphobic” was used to trigger an emotional reaction painting people who disagree with this ACLU position as reprehensible.  It is sad that ACLU actively tries to divide us.  While not technically “hate language”, the wording of your message clearly induces hatred, which apparently is acceptable to ACLU if it will help raise funds.

You might say the message technically labels only the politicians as transphobic.  But clearly it is wrong to paint all politicians who support banning trans girls from girls’ sports as transphobic.  I think if someone wants to change their gender, they should be allowed to do so, with appropriate safeguards.  But if politicians who oppose trans girls in girls’ sports are “transphobic” in your eyes, then I must be “transphobic” in your eyes also.

ACLU says “We should be removing barriers for girls and women in sports … not creating new ones.”  That is at best misleading.  Most people in the country believe that the court DID remove a barrier.  If ACLU feels that people born male don’t have advantages in sports, why doesn’t it argue that no sports should be segregated by gender?

In the past, ACLU insisted that everyone benefits from allowing trans girls to participate in girls’ sports, which is patently false.  Girls who lose championships to trans girls are harmed.  Girls who lose scholarships as a result are harmed.  Girls who are injured by trans girls or who injure themselves by over-training in an attempt to compete with trans girls are harmed.  I understand that you might feel such results are acceptable because of the benefits you see in allowing trans girls to compete in girls’ sports.  You should acknowledge the point honestly and discuss the offsets.  If you prefer, you could ignore this point, but ACLU should publicly retract such lies.  I haven’t seen that statement recently, but I don’t know if ACLU has decided to retire it permanently.

ACLU writes “transgender girls – who've asked for nothing more than the same opportunities afforded to their peers.”  Of course, the fundamental disagreement is “who are their peers when it comes to sports”.  ACLU is so disrespectful regarding the attitudes of other people, disingenuously stating as a fact what is simply ACLU’s opinion.

When I see such communication, I’m ashamed to have supported ACLU.  Again, not because of ACLU’s position supporting allowing trans girls to play in girls’ sports, but because of ACLU’s lies, misrepresentations, divisive tactics, and disrespect for opposing viewpoints.

From: ACLU <aclu@aclu.org>

Sent: Wednesday, July 1, 2026 8:34 AM
To: claude.thau@gmail.com
Subject: The Supreme Court ruled against trans kids

 

Trans children shouldn't be denied the benefits of teamwork and dedication because of who they are.

 ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Thursday, July 2, 2026

My cousin, Georgina

I recently visited with my cousin, Georgina, whom I hadn’t seen in a long time.

While she visited, we saw a program about vaccines, which triggered Georgina’s anger.  She was very upset that people don’t trust the science of vaccine safety. 

When I complimented Georgina for not being distracted from the scientific evidence, she diverted to criticizing people who claim that the 2020 election was stolen for Donald Trump with voting abuses.  “People believe what they want to believe” she bemoaned, “regardless of the facts”.

I complimented her for focusing on reality rather than conspiracies, as well as acknowledging truths that seem irrefutable to me.

While encouraging, it was a bit incongruous to hear Georgina make these comments.  Like many people, when she says "trust the science" or "trust the facts", she really means "trust what I believe".

Georgina is my aunt Laura’s child.  I remember seeing Aunt Laura obviously pregnant before Georgina’s birth and seeing her breastfeed Georgina.

I also remember that a paternity test confirmed that Harvey is Georgina’s father, as Aunt Laura had maintained.

But Georgina does not accept that Laura and Harvey are her parents.  Georgina claims they were assigned as her parents on her birth certificate, but she knows that Taylor Swift gave birth to her and that Travis Kelce is her father.

When I asked her how that could be possible, as both Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are younger than she is, she got exasperated, saying that no matter how much I wanted to deny the truth, she knew who her parents are.

Her parentage beliefs are even more interesting because she identifies as “African-American”.  You can imagine she wasn’t happy when I observed that Laura and Harvey and Taylor and Travis are all Caucasian.  She responded that you can’t trust the racial identity that was assigned on her birth certificate or on their birth certificates. 

As further proof of the inaccuracy of her birth certificate, she told me she was born in Liberia, not Boston (as printed on her birth certificate).  The deception of her birth certificate is exposed, she said, when you realize that the doctor assigned as having done the delivery never even set foot in Africa.

As everything on her birth certificate was arbitrarily assigned, you can’t trust her supposed birth date either.  The inaccuracy of her assigned birth date suggests to her that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce also have inaccurate birth dates.

I can’t imagine how she got to be so big if she was born fairly recently, but she maintains that she was a giant baby whose birth weight and length was made up because the doctor didn’t think anyone would believe that a baby female could be so large and heavy.

Oh yeah, one more thing: Georgina’s birth certificate shows her given name was “George”.  Although I remember seeing the appropriateness of her gender “assignment” when “she” was bathed as an infant, she maintains, of course, that her name and gender were assigned with no scientific justification.

Saturday, May 16, 2026

What can we do to boost ethical behavior in our society?

 When I started reading the  The Neuroscience of Morality/www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-brain-science-reveals-about-ethical-decline-and-moral-growth/, it seemed obvious and not very helpful.  However, the quotes below support actions described further below.  I’d be interested in whether you agree that we need to instill ethics more and your thoughts as to how we can do so.

Quotes

At the end of page 3: “It's easier for people to act morally when they embrace bottom-line values that they'll uphold no matter what. Gonell's grandfather would remind him, "Never tell lies" - a principle that stayed with him.”

From page 8, I picked the following quotes:

·        “At an institutional level, one way to ward off downward moral slides might be to increase the penalties tied to each stage of moral descent-say, by announcing zero-tolerance antifraud company policies-and to underscore the rewards of holding the moral line. Leaders of organizations can, for instance, swiftly address transgressions and help employees get comfortable with admitting mistakes. In a Maastricht University study, participants whose bosses showed ethical leadership engaged in fewer corrupt acts such as offering bribes. Generally speaking, fraud and cover-ups seem less enticing in ethical workplace cultures, and telling the truth feels like an obligation, not an act of career sabotage.”

·        “Once people decide to act with integrity, their resolve is often socially contagious.”

·        “Psychologists such as Zeno Franco of the Medical College of Wisconsin suggest cultivating what he calls the "heroic imagination": our individual capacity to consider ahead of time what we'll do in situations that call for moral courage, what values we will stand behind even under extreme pressure. In this kind of "What would I do?" scenario, the brain's frontal cortex helps people anticipate how they will feel when they make certain moral choices, and those predicted feelings can influence their decisions in the long run.

Actions

  1. The above explain why the “broken windows” law enforcement policy is successful.  It was formulated by James Q. Wilson and George L. Kelling in a 1982 Atlantic article [1] and implemented by Police Chief William Bratton when Rudy Giuliani* was mayor of New York, with outstanding results.
  2. Parents and other role models should demonstrate and emphasize character.  That includes explaining our actions and considerations to our chidren.
  3. We should teach about heroes.  We should teach DEI by showing heroes of various backgrounds showing the same moral fiber and goals, without categorizing them.  We should allow our sameness to show through naturally and demonstrate that people with diverse ethnicities, experiences and ways of looking at situations help us by providing more food and music diversity as well as better ways to solve problems.
  4. Schools and streets should be named after individuals, and it should be made easy to learn why those people are being honored.  For example, QR codes could be posted on street signposts.
  5. It is beneficial to protect religious rights, partly because religion instills character.  (I think the current Supreme Court has done an excellent job in this regard.)
  6. More discussion or research seems appropriate as regards dealing with the frailties of our heroes.
    1. I favor acknowledging that our Founding Fathers included slaveowners and did not accord rights to women despite their “all men are created equal” beliefs. 
    2. However, emphasizing these failings might make it easier for people to later justify their unethical behavior because “everyone does something unethical”.
    3. Perhaps we should focus on those historic failures as a societal failure rather than focusing on the individuals.  The bigger issue is how to avoid such travesties, rather than to assign blame.
    4. We should understand the circumstances that existed at the time.  For example, in Robert E. Lee’s time, few people had traveled outside their home state.  Loyalty to their state exceeded loyalty to the federal government.  (Robert E. Lee had a great amount of integrity and only reluctantly decided to serve the South.)  Understanding then-current social thoughts does not excuse unethical behavior but does explain factors that contributed to it. 
    5. We should clearly applaud those people who rejected improper societal norms, whether or not their efforts to overturn improper behavior were successful.
  7. We should consider criticism we receive.  Why should other societies respect us when our vocabulary includes terms such as “plausible deniability”?
  8. We should hold our institutions accountable.  We, as voters and citizens, don’t do this well.
*It should go without saying that supporting Rudy Giuliani's (some of) actions as mayor does not mean I support things he did later in his life.